Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 53.4% vs Rantanen 50.0% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rantanen 82.4%
Defensive zone
Lowry 79.0%
Neutral zone
Lowry 51.8%
Result
Mikko Rantanen favored at 82.4%
17.6%
82.4%
Lowry
Rantanen
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Lowry
Rantanen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rantanen
0
1
Lowry
Rantanen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Rantanen
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (675)
50.0% (44)
+5.4%
Power Play
83.3% (6)
50.0% (20)
+33.3%
On power play, Lowry has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rantanen shoots left. Lowry is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (543).
Lowry shoots left. Rantanen is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (29).
Home / Away
Lowry
Rantanen
Home
54.5% (402)
48.4% (31)
Away
53.3% (368)
51.5% (33)
By Period
Lowry
Rantanen
P1
52.4%
50.0%
P2
56.0%
33.3%
P3
54.2%
70.6%
OT
40.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
58.1%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
53.9%
Rantanen
50.0%▼
52.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 19:32 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |