Scouting Report
Mikko Rantanen holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Rantanen on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 49.1% vs Rantanen 53.2% (-4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rantanen 86.1%
Defensive zone
Lowry 94.9%
Neutral zone
Lowry 61.6%
Result
Mikko Rantanen favored at 55.7%
44.3%
55.7%
Lowry
Rantanen
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Lowry
Rantanen
Last 8: Lowry 3-5 Rantanen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rantanen
0
5
Lowry
Rantanen
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
3
0
Lowry
Rantanen
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Rantanen
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (1,064)
51.7% (346)
-2.4%
Power Play
67.7% (65)
58.5% (164)
+9.2%
Penalty Kill
42.6% (251)
0.0% (1)
+42.6%
On penalty kill, Lowry has a +42.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rantanen shoots left. Lowry is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (968).
Lowry shoots left. Rantanen is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (290).
Home / Away
Lowry
Rantanen
Home
50.2% (671)
55.8% (258)
Away
47.8% (709)
51.8% (253)
By Period
Lowry
Rantanen
P1
48.4%
50.0%
P2
50.1%
56.6%
P3
47.8%
54.3%
OT
66.7%
71.4%
Final 5 min
43.8%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
49.0%
Rantanen
50.0%▼
52.5%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2024 | 2 | 11:51 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 3 | 04:46 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 3 | 00:42 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 2 | 11:21 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 1 | 16:05 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 1 | 06:40 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 3 | 02:31 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 2 | 10:54 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |