Scouting Report
Mikko Rantanen holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.6% vs Rantanen 52.1% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rantanen 88.5%
Defensive zone
Lowry 89.0%
Neutral zone
Lowry 55.4%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 55.8%
55.8%
44.2%
Lowry
Rantanen
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Lowry
Rantanen
Last 7: Lowry 4-3 Rantanen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rantanen
0
3
Lowry
Rantanen
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
4
0
Lowry
Rantanen
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Rantanen
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (933)
55.3% (188)
-1.6%
Power Play
60.7% (28)
46.3% (67)
+14.4%
On power play, Lowry has a +14.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rantanen shoots left. Lowry is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (840).
Lowry shoots left. Rantanen is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (172).
Home / Away
Lowry
Rantanen
Home
53.0% (583)
57.3% (143)
Away
50.6% (605)
47.3% (112)
By Period
Lowry
Rantanen
P1
52.1%
47.8%
P2
51.8%
56.8%
P3
52.3%
54.5%
OT
25.0%
37.5%
Final 5 min
53.9%
60.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.8%
Rantanen
50.0%▼
52.5%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2025 | 3 | 04:42 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 2 | 14:24 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 09:01 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 07:01 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 3 | 15:23 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 3 | 06:35 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 2 | 07:58 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |