Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.6% vs 50.8%). Look for Rantanen on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 19 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.5% vs Rantanen 50.8% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Rantanen leads 19-19 in 38 meetings
Offensive zone
Rantanen 92.1%
Defensive zone
Lowry 86.8%
Neutral zone
Lowry 56.6%
Result
Mikko Rantanen favored at 54.2%
45.8%
54.2%
Lowry
Rantanen
Head-to-Head Record
19
-
19
(38 meetings)
19
19
Lowry
Rantanen
Last 10: Lowry 4-6 Rantanen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rantanen
0
19
Lowry
Rantanen
19 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
17
0
Lowry
Rantanen
17 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
0
Lowry
Rantanen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Rantanen
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (9,130)
51.0% (1,522)
+1.8%
Power Play
57.1% (455)
50.8% (484)
+6.3%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (2,139)
14.3% (7)
+30.6%
On penalty kill, Lowry has a +30.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rantanen shoots left. Lowry is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,740).
Lowry shoots left. Rantanen is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,228).
Home / Away
Lowry
Rantanen
Home
53.5% (5,893)
53.0% (1,067)
Away
49.6% (5,831)
48.3% (946)
By Period
Lowry
Rantanen
P1
51.5%
49.0%
P2
51.8%
51.3%
P3
51.4%
51.8%
OT
46.3%
57.8%
Final 5 min
52.9%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.6%
Rantanen
50.0%▼
52.5%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 19:32 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 3 | 04:42 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 2 | 14:24 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 09:01 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 07:01 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 3 | 15:23 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 3 | 06:35 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 2 | 07:58 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 2 | 11:51 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 3 | 04:46 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 3 | 00:42 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 2 | 11:21 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 1 | 16:05 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 1 | 06:40 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 3 | 02:31 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 2 | 10:54 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 3 | 03:57 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 2 | 19:41 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 1 | 05:47 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 3 | 13:40 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |