Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +15.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Lowry wins 54.8% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 55.1% vs Schmaltz 41.2% (+15.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lowry 56.9%
Defensive zone
Lowry 94.1%
Neutral zone
Lowry 86.9%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 87.7%
87.7%
12.3%
Lowry
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Lowry
Schmaltz
Last 8: Lowry 6-2 Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
0
1
Lowry
Schmaltz
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
4
1
Lowry
Schmaltz
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
0
Lowry
Schmaltz
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
59.0% (527)
39.5% (658)
+19.5%
Power Play
44.2% (43)
41.3% (92)
+2.9%
Penalty Kill
44.6% (101)
45.1% (51)
-0.5%
On even strength, Lowry has a +19.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Lowry is 54.8% vs right-shot opponents (270).
Lowry shoots left. Schmaltz is 37.9% vs left-shot opponents (528).
Home / Away
Lowry
Schmaltz
Home
57.9% (330)
40.8% (424)
Away
54.0% (341)
39.3% (377)
By Period
Lowry
Schmaltz
P1
55.8%
38.4%
P2
55.8%
40.7%
P3
56.1%
41.0%
OT
50.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
62.2%
42.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
55.9%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
40.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2018 | 3 | 17:19 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 7, 2018 | 3 | 06:33 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 7, 2018 | 2 | 10:01 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 29, 2018 | 3 | 11:29 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 29, 2018 | 2 | 17:27 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 29, 2018 | 1 | 19:38 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 14, 2017 | 1 | 13:36 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Dec 14, 2017 | 1 | 06:42 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |