Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +10.4% FO% edge overall. Lowry wins 53.5% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 50.4% vs Schmaltz 45.0% (+10.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 65.1%
Defensive zone
Lowry 92.5%
Neutral zone
Lowry 71.0%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 92.5%
92.5%
7.5%
Lowry
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Lowry
Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Schmaltz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (893)
37.7% (53)
+15.0%
Power Play
52.8% (72)
40.9% (44)
+11.9%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (215)
66.7% (3)
-26.7%
On penalty kill, Schmaltz has a +26.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Lowry is 53.5% vs right-shot opponents (430).
Lowry shoots left. Schmaltz is 40.3% vs left-shot opponents (77).
Home / Away
Lowry
Schmaltz
Home
52.4% (597)
34.7% (49)
Away
48.4% (583)
45.1% (51)
By Period
Lowry
Schmaltz
P1
48.5%
25.9%
P2
52.2%
46.2%
P3
50.5%
42.1%
OT
50.0%
46.7%
Final 5 min
49.4%
34.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
50.4%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
40.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2023 | 2 | 16:21 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |