Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Lowry wins 57.7% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 52.7% vs Schmaltz 48.4% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 81.9%
Defensive zone
Lowry 81.5%
Neutral zone
Lowry 52.9%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 50.8%
50.8%
49.2%
Lowry
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Lowry
Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
0
1
Lowry
Schmaltz
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
0
1
Lowry
Schmaltz
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Schmaltz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (796)
42.9% (133)
+12.9%
Power Play
54.7% (53)
55.1% (89)
-0.4%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (215)
47.1% (17)
-4.8%
On even strength, Lowry has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Lowry is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (392).
Lowry shoots left. Schmaltz is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (178).
Home / Away
Lowry
Schmaltz
Home
53.4% (515)
41.6% (125)
Away
52.6% (549)
54.4% (114)
By Period
Lowry
Schmaltz
P1
54.2%
40.0%
P2
54.4%
59.5%
P3
50.8%
45.0%
OT
37.5%
40.0%
Final 5 min
54.2%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
53.0%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2022 | 3 | 09:45 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 2 | 12:39 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 2 | 07:25 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |