Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 49.1% vs Schmaltz 42.8% (+8.0%)
H2H factor
Lowry leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Lowry 62.8%
Defensive zone
Lowry 95.1%
Neutral zone
Lowry 84.0%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 84.2%
84.2%
15.8%
Lowry
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
3
(12 meetings)
9
3
Lowry
Schmaltz
Last 10: Lowry 8-2 Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
1
Lowry
Schmaltz
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
5
1
Lowry
Schmaltz
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
1
Lowry
Schmaltz
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (1,064)
38.5% (309)
+10.8%
Power Play
67.7% (65)
53.2% (79)
+14.5%
Penalty Kill
42.6% (251)
25.0% (12)
+17.6%
On penalty kill, Lowry has a +17.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Lowry is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (412).
Lowry shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (309).
Home / Away
Lowry
Schmaltz
Home
50.2% (671)
38.0% (184)
Away
47.8% (709)
43.5% (216)
By Period
Lowry
Schmaltz
P1
48.4%
40.3%
P2
50.1%
39.9%
P3
47.8%
40.7%
OT
66.7%
70.0%
Final 5 min
43.8%
41.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
49.0%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
41.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2024 | 3 | 15:37 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 2 | 19:45 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 2 | 19:37 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 2 | 17:12 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 1 | 18:03 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 1 | 09:26 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 7, 2024 | 3 | 02:07 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 7, 2024 | 3 | 01:56 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 2 | 16:37 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 2 | 11:26 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 3 | 10:05 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |