Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Lowry wins 53.5% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 50.4% vs Suzuki 47.5% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Lowry leads 11-5 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Suzuki 69.1%
Defensive zone
Lowry 78.6%
Neutral zone
Lowry 63.8%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 65.0%
65.0%
35.0%
Lowry
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
5
(16 meetings)
11
5
Lowry
Suzuki
Last 10: Lowry 7-3 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
3
0
Lowry
Suzuki
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
4
4
Lowry
Suzuki
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
4
1
Lowry
Suzuki
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (893)
47.0% (1,066)
+5.7%
Power Play
52.8% (72)
49.5% (204)
+3.3%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (215)
46.6% (131)
-6.6%
On penalty kill, Suzuki has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Lowry is 53.5% vs right-shot opponents (430).
Lowry shoots left. Suzuki is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,005).
Home / Away
Lowry
Suzuki
Home
52.4% (597)
49.4% (686)
Away
48.4% (583)
45.3% (715)
By Period
Lowry
Suzuki
P1
48.5%
45.6%
P2
52.2%
46.9%
P3
50.5%
49.8%
OT
50.0%
38.1%
Final 5 min
49.4%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
50.4%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
47.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2023 | 3 | 01:35 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 17, 2023 | 2 | 07:46 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 17, 2023 | 2 | 01:24 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 17, 2023 | 1 | 17:22 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 17, 2023 | 1 | 16:36 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 3, 2022 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 3 | 15:23 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 3 | 13:08 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 3 | 07:49 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 2 | 15:38 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 2 | 11:12 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 2 | 05:56 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 1 | 18:22 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 1 | 04:17 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 1 | 00:36 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |