Scouting Report
Nick Suzuki holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 49.1% vs Suzuki 52.4% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Lowry leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Suzuki 87.6%
Defensive zone
Lowry 66.5%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 65.0%
Result
Nick Suzuki favored at 60.2%
39.8%
60.2%
Lowry
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
5
(12 meetings)
7
5
Lowry
Suzuki
Last 10: Lowry 5-5 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
1
Lowry
Suzuki
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
3
1
Lowry
Suzuki
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suzuki
2
3
Lowry
Suzuki
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (1,064)
51.3% (1,096)
-2.0%
Power Play
67.7% (65)
59.9% (157)
+7.8%
Penalty Kill
42.6% (251)
56.9% (58)
-14.3%
On penalty kill, Suzuki has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Lowry is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (412).
Lowry shoots left. Suzuki is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (961).
Home / Away
Lowry
Suzuki
Home
50.2% (671)
54.2% (638)
Away
47.8% (709)
51.0% (673)
By Period
Lowry
Suzuki
P1
48.4%
51.5%
P2
50.1%
53.3%
P3
47.8%
52.4%
OT
66.7%
58.3%
Final 5 min
43.8%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
49.0%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2023 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 18, 2023 | 3 | 18:21 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 18, 2023 | 3 | 15:38 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 18, 2023 | 3 | 10:56 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 18, 2023 | 2 | 19:04 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 18, 2023 | 2 | 15:04 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 18, 2023 | 2 | 10:34 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 18, 2023 | 2 | 10:11 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 18, 2023 | 1 | 12:07 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 18, 2023 | 1 | 01:08 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 28, 2023 | OT | 00:34 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 1 | 19:30 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |