Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.8% vs 51.6%). Look for Lowry on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Lowry wins 55.2% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.6% vs Suzuki 51.5% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Suzuki 89.4%
Defensive zone
Lowry 79.6%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 56.7%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 52.2%
52.2%
47.8%
Lowry
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Lowry
Suzuki
Last 9: Lowry 6-3 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
0
2
Lowry
Suzuki
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
4
0
Lowry
Suzuki
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
1
Lowry
Suzuki
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (933)
52.4% (981)
+1.3%
Power Play
60.7% (28)
50.7% (304)
+10.0%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (227)
36.4% (33)
+6.3%
On power play, Lowry has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Lowry is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (348).
Lowry shoots left. Suzuki is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (976).
Home / Away
Lowry
Suzuki
Home
53.0% (583)
53.2% (645)
Away
50.6% (605)
50.1% (673)
By Period
Lowry
Suzuki
P1
52.1%
48.9%
P2
51.8%
51.5%
P3
52.3%
54.9%
OT
25.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
53.9%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.8%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2024 | 3 | 19:38 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 3 | 19:05 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 3 | 18:46 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 3 | 04:10 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 2 | 17:39 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 2 | 06:56 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 1 | 18:09 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 1 | 07:42 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |