Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on defensive-zone draws (77% H2H, 44 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.5% vs Suzuki 49.3% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Lowry leads 65-36 in 101 meetings
Offensive zone
Suzuki 73.9%
Defensive zone
Lowry 87.7%
Neutral zone
Lowry 61.3%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 64.8%
64.8%
35.2%
Lowry
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
65
-
36
(101 meetings)
65
36
Lowry
Suzuki
Last 10: Lowry 7-3 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
8
15
Lowry
Suzuki
23 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
34
10
Lowry
Suzuki
44 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
23
11
Lowry
Suzuki
34 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (9,130)
49.4% (6,327)
+3.4%
Power Play
57.1% (455)
50.7% (1,338)
+6.4%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (2,139)
43.6% (456)
+1.3%
On power play, Lowry has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Lowry is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (3,984).
Lowry shoots left. Suzuki is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,913).
Home / Away
Lowry
Suzuki
Home
53.5% (5,893)
51.0% (3,997)
Away
49.6% (5,831)
47.6% (4,124)
By Period
Lowry
Suzuki
P1
51.5%
48.8%
P2
51.8%
49.1%
P3
51.4%
50.2%
OT
46.3%
44.4%
Final 5 min
52.9%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.6%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2026 | 3 | 04:02 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 2 | 15:04 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 3 | 06:19 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 2 | 09:31 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 3 | 19:38 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 3 | 19:05 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 3 | 18:46 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 3 | 04:10 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 2 | 17:39 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 2 | 06:56 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 1 | 18:09 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 1 | 07:42 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 18, 2023 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 18, 2023 | 3 | 18:21 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 18, 2023 | 3 | 15:38 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 18, 2023 | 3 | 10:56 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 18, 2023 | 2 | 19:04 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 18, 2023 | 2 | 15:04 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 18, 2023 | 2 | 10:34 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |