Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Lowry wins 60.4% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 53.4% vs Suzuki 50.3% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Suzuki 73.1%
Defensive zone
Lowry 80.1%
Neutral zone
Lowry 54.5%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 53.5%
53.5%
46.5%
Lowry
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Lowry
Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lowry
Suzuki
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
0
Lowry
Suzuki
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (675)
51.3% (904)
+4.1%
Power Play
83.3% (6)
49.8% (265)
+33.5%
Penalty Kill
40.4% (89)
36.8% (57)
+3.6%
On power play, Lowry has a +33.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Lowry is 60.4% vs right-shot opponents (227).
Lowry shoots left. Suzuki is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (921).
Home / Away
Lowry
Suzuki
Home
54.5% (402)
50.6% (603)
Away
53.3% (368)
50.1% (623)
By Period
Lowry
Suzuki
P1
52.4%
52.3%
P2
56.0%
47.5%
P3
54.2%
51.1%
OT
40.0%
48.6%
Final 5 min
58.1%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
53.9%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2026 | 3 | 04:02 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 2 | 15:04 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 3 | 06:19 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 2 | 09:31 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |