Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Lowry wins 57.7% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 52.7% vs Carrick 49.5% (+3.6%)
Offensive zone
Lowry 50.6%
Defensive zone
Lowry 52.6%
Neutral zone
Lowry 52.4%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 51.9%
51.9%
48.1%
Lowry
Carrick
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (796)
48.9% (352)
+6.9%
Power Play
54.7% (53)
81.3% (16)
-26.6%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (215)
42.2% (45)
+0.1%
On power play, Carrick has a +26.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Lowry is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (392).
Lowry shoots left. Carrick is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (300).
Home / Away
Lowry
Carrick
Home
53.4% (515)
46.9% (192)
Away
52.6% (549)
51.6% (221)
By Period
Lowry
Carrick
P1
54.2%
48.1%
P2
54.4%
50.0%
P3
50.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.2%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
53.0%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
49.4%