Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Lowry wins 53.5% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 50.4% vs Carrick 49.5% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lowry 56.0%
Defensive zone
Lowry 51.6%
Neutral zone
Lowry 54.4%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 56.0%
56.0%
44.0%
Lowry
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Lowry
Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lowry
Carrick
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (893)
49.2% (307)
+3.5%
Power Play
52.8% (72)
66.7% (6)
-13.9%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (215)
48.2% (56)
-8.2%
On power play, Carrick has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Lowry is 53.5% vs right-shot opponents (430).
Lowry shoots left. Carrick is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (288).
Home / Away
Lowry
Carrick
Home
52.4% (597)
50.3% (175)
Away
48.4% (583)
48.5% (194)
By Period
Lowry
Carrick
P1
48.5%
41.0%
P2
52.2%
51.2%
P3
50.5%
55.3%
Final 5 min
49.4%
37.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
50.4%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2022 | 3 | 07:31 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 4, 2022 | 1 | 18:24 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |