Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.9% vs 54.5%). Lowry wins 60.4% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 53.4% vs Carrick 53.8% (-0.6%)
Offensive zone
Lowry 54.4%
Defensive zone
Carrick 51.9%
Neutral zone
Lowry 53.2%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 51.9%
51.9%
48.1%
Lowry
Carrick
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (675)
55.1% (439)
+0.3%
Power Play
83.3% (6)
66.7% (3)
+16.6%
Penalty Kill
40.4% (89)
49.1% (53)
-8.7%
On power play, Lowry has a +16.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Lowry is 60.4% vs right-shot opponents (227).
Lowry shoots left. Carrick is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (355).
Home / Away
Lowry
Carrick
Home
54.5% (402)
58.2% (225)
Away
53.3% (368)
51.5% (270)
By Period
Lowry
Carrick
P1
52.4%
56.7%
P2
56.0%
52.8%
P3
54.2%
54.4%
Final 5 min
58.1%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
53.9%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
54.5%