Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 49.1% vs Carrick 53.0% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lowry 54.2%
Defensive zone
Lowry 50.5%
Neutral zone
Lowry 50.9%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
Lowry
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Lowry
Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
1
Lowry
Carrick
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Carrick
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (1,064)
53.9% (521)
-4.6%
Power Play
67.7% (65)
57.1% (35)
+10.6%
Penalty Kill
42.6% (251)
51.5% (229)
-8.9%
On power play, Lowry has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Lowry is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (412).
Lowry shoots left. Carrick is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (562).
Home / Away
Lowry
Carrick
Home
50.2% (671)
52.7% (408)
Away
47.8% (709)
54.1% (377)
By Period
Lowry
Carrick
P1
48.4%
51.4%
P2
50.1%
56.6%
P3
47.8%
52.1%
Final 5 min
43.8%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
49.0%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2024 | 1 | 04:50 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 3 | 06:46 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |