Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 49.1% vs Stamkos 55.2% (-7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 82.2%
Defensive zone
Lowry 76.9%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 67.5%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 52.7%
47.3%
52.7%
Lowry
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Lowry
Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
1
Lowry
Stamkos
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
0
Lowry
Stamkos
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (1,064)
55.9% (499)
-6.6%
Power Play
67.7% (65)
56.3% (126)
+11.4%
Penalty Kill
42.6% (251)
58.3% (12)
-15.7%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +15.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Lowry is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (412).
Lowry shoots left. Stamkos is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (486).
Home / Away
Lowry
Stamkos
Home
50.2% (671)
55.3% (349)
Away
47.8% (709)
56.9% (288)
By Period
Lowry
Stamkos
P1
48.4%
57.0%
P2
50.1%
59.2%
P3
47.8%
51.5%
OT
66.7%
55.6%
Final 5 min
43.8%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
49.0%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2024 | 2 | 19:57 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 22, 2023 | OT | 00:14 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 22, 2023 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |