Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Lowry wins 60.8% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 53.8% vs Trocheck 56.0% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Trocheck 84.9%
Defensive zone
Lowry 52.1%
Neutral zone
Trocheck 53.4%
Result
Vincent Trocheck favored at 72.4%
27.6%
72.4%
Lowry
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Lowry
Trocheck
Last 8: Lowry 6-2 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
4
1
Lowry
Trocheck
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
1
Lowry
Trocheck
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
0
Lowry
Trocheck
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (660)
57.7% (608)
-1.9%
Power Play
83.3% (6)
64.0% (150)
+19.3%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (87)
44.1% (136)
-2.7%
On power play, Lowry has a +19.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Lowry is 60.8% vs right-shot opponents (222).
Lowry shoots left. Trocheck is 57.5% vs left-shot opponents (612).
Home / Away
Lowry
Trocheck
Home
54.5% (402)
54.4% (366)
Away
54.1% (351)
58.3% (528)
By Period
Lowry
Trocheck
P1
52.4%
56.0%
P2
56.3%
58.6%
P3
54.7%
55.3%
OT
44.4%
61.5%
Final 5 min
58.5%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
54.0%▼
56.0%
54.3%
Trocheck
56.0%▬
57.0%
56.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 10:23 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 06:57 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 03:55 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 00:58 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 00:39 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 18:34 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 10:51 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1 | 01:08 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |