Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Trocheck on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Lowry wins 55.2% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.6% vs Trocheck 58.8% (-7.5%)
H2H factor
Trocheck leads 11-7 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Lowry 55.7%
Defensive zone
Lowry 88.2%
Neutral zone
Lowry 71.6%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 75.5%
75.5%
24.5%
Lowry
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
11
(18 meetings)
7
11
Lowry
Trocheck
Last 10: Lowry 5-5 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
5
Lowry
Trocheck
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
7
2
Lowry
Trocheck
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
4
Lowry
Trocheck
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (933)
59.6% (1,032)
-5.9%
Power Play
60.7% (28)
62.1% (253)
-1.4%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (227)
55.4% (249)
-12.7%
On penalty kill, Trocheck has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Lowry is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (348).
Lowry shoots left. Trocheck is 59.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,143).
Home / Away
Lowry
Trocheck
Home
53.0% (583)
61.7% (786)
Away
50.6% (605)
56.8% (748)
By Period
Lowry
Trocheck
P1
52.1%
61.7%
P2
51.8%
58.8%
P3
52.3%
57.6%
OT
25.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
53.9%
57.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.8%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
59.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2025 | 3 | 18:38 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 3 | 12:29 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 3 | 05:40 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 2 | 07:55 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 2 | 07:48 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 1 | 06:21 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 3 | 13:52 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 3 | 05:17 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 2 | 19:52 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 2 | 19:43 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 2 | 16:52 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 2 | 14:32 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 2 | 11:33 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 2 | 03:43 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 1 | 07:48 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |