Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Lowry wins 57.7% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 52.7% vs Trocheck 54.3% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Trocheck 78.4%
Defensive zone
Trocheck 51.8%
Neutral zone
Trocheck 53.1%
Result
Vincent Trocheck favored at 57.1%
42.9%
57.1%
Lowry
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Lowry
Trocheck
Last 6: Lowry 4-2 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Trocheck
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Trocheck
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Lowry
Trocheck
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (796)
54.3% (955)
+1.5%
Power Play
54.7% (53)
64.6% (96)
-9.9%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (215)
51.0% (194)
-8.7%
On power play, Trocheck has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Lowry is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (392).
Lowry shoots left. Trocheck is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (904).
Home / Away
Lowry
Trocheck
Home
53.4% (515)
58.3% (604)
Away
52.6% (549)
51.2% (641)
By Period
Lowry
Trocheck
P1
54.2%
53.9%
P2
54.4%
55.7%
P3
50.8%
54.3%
OT
37.5%
54.5%
Final 5 min
54.2%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
53.0%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2022 | 3 | 08:21 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Apr 21, 2022 | 2 | 17:30 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 21, 2022 | 2 | 06:54 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 21, 2022 | 1 | 00:45 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 21, 2022 | 1 | 00:37 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 2 | 01:12 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |