Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Trocheck on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Lowry wins 53.5% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 50.4% vs Trocheck 55.6% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Trocheck leads 8-6 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Trocheck 67.7%
Defensive zone
Lowry 84.5%
Neutral zone
Lowry 67.1%
Result
Vincent Trocheck favored at 50.3%
49.7%
50.3%
Lowry
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
8
(14 meetings)
6
8
Lowry
Trocheck
Last 10: Lowry 4-6 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
2
6
Lowry
Trocheck
8 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lowry
Trocheck
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
3
1
Lowry
Trocheck
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (893)
55.0% (956)
-2.3%
Power Play
52.8% (72)
59.8% (266)
-7.0%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (215)
56.3% (64)
-16.3%
On penalty kill, Trocheck has a +16.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Lowry is 53.5% vs right-shot opponents (430).
Lowry shoots left. Trocheck is 57.2% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Home / Away
Lowry
Trocheck
Home
52.4% (597)
57.7% (673)
Away
48.4% (583)
54.3% (613)
By Period
Lowry
Trocheck
P1
48.5%
55.4%
P2
52.2%
55.6%
P3
50.5%
56.4%
OT
50.0%
83.3%
Final 5 min
49.4%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
50.4%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2023 | 3 | 07:05 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Feb 20, 2023 | 3 | 06:51 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Feb 20, 2023 | 2 | 18:51 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 20, 2023 | 2 | 15:51 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Feb 20, 2023 | 1 | 08:13 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 20, 2023 | 1 | 05:12 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Oct 14, 2022 | 3 | 19:22 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Oct 14, 2022 | 3 | 15:35 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 14, 2022 | 3 | 12:39 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Oct 14, 2022 | 3 | 12:15 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 14, 2022 | 3 | 06:12 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Oct 14, 2022 | 2 | 09:05 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 14, 2022 | 2 | 01:32 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Oct 14, 2022 | 1 | 09:37 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |