Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Lowry wins 60.4% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 53.4% vs Trocheck 56.0% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Trocheck 90.9%
Defensive zone
Trocheck 66.5%
Neutral zone
Trocheck 68.8%
Result
Vincent Trocheck favored at 83.3%
16.7%
83.3%
Lowry
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Lowry
Trocheck
Last 9: Lowry 7-2 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
5
1
Lowry
Trocheck
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
1
Lowry
Trocheck
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
0
Lowry
Trocheck
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (675)
57.8% (626)
-2.4%
Power Play
83.3% (6)
63.6% (151)
+19.7%
Penalty Kill
40.4% (89)
44.0% (141)
-3.6%
On power play, Lowry has a +19.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Lowry is 60.4% vs right-shot opponents (227).
Lowry shoots left. Trocheck is 57.3% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Home / Away
Lowry
Trocheck
Home
54.5% (402)
54.4% (390)
Away
53.3% (368)
58.3% (528)
By Period
Lowry
Trocheck
P1
52.4%
56.4%
P2
56.0%
58.7%
P3
54.2%
54.8%
OT
40.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
58.1%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
53.9%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
56.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 11:47 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 10:23 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 06:57 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 03:55 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 00:58 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 00:39 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 18:34 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 10:51 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1 | 01:08 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |