Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Trocheck on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 49.1% vs Trocheck 58.2% (-9.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Trocheck 60.9%
Defensive zone
Lowry 89.1%
Neutral zone
Lowry 69.7%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 53.0%
53.0%
47.0%
Lowry
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Lowry
Trocheck
Last 8: Lowry 3-5 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
5
Lowry
Trocheck
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Trocheck
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
0
Lowry
Trocheck
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (1,064)
57.6% (1,061)
-8.3%
Power Play
67.7% (65)
65.1% (338)
+2.6%
Penalty Kill
42.6% (251)
49.5% (101)
-6.9%
On even strength, Trocheck has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Lowry is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (412).
Lowry shoots left. Trocheck is 59.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,118).
Home / Away
Lowry
Trocheck
Home
50.2% (671)
61.8% (735)
Away
47.8% (709)
55.8% (765)
By Period
Lowry
Trocheck
P1
48.4%
57.7%
P2
50.1%
57.9%
P3
47.8%
60.4%
OT
66.7%
60.0%
Final 5 min
43.8%
58.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
49.0%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
58.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2024 | 3 | 18:26 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 2 | 18:49 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 2 | 18:42 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 2 | 12:18 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 1 | 12:44 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 1 | 10:23 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 1 | 05:47 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 3 | 12:41 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |