Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Lowry wins 40.9% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 47.5% vs Trocheck 48.9% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lowry 62.7%
Defensive zone
Lowry 64.3%
Neutral zone
Lowry 65.7%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 64.2%
64.2%
35.8%
Lowry
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Lowry
Trocheck
Last 5: Lowry 1-4 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
2
Lowry
Trocheck
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
1
Lowry
Trocheck
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Lowry
Trocheck
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (783)
48.4% (446)
-1.4%
Power Play
57.1% (28)
56.7% (30)
+0.4%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (40)
20.0% (5)
+25.0%
On penalty kill, Lowry has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Lowry is 40.9% vs right-shot opponents (276).
Lowry shoots left. Trocheck is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (349).
Home / Away
Lowry
Trocheck
Home
49.2% (425)
55.5% (238)
Away
45.3% (426)
42.0% (243)
By Period
Lowry
Trocheck
P1
53.6%
50.0%
P2
39.8%
44.0%
P3
48.5%
52.0%
OT
0.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
52.0%
46.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
47.2%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2015 | 3 | 16:07 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 12, 2015 | 3 | 01:16 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 12, 2015 | 2 | 05:38 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 12, 2015 | 2 | 01:19 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 12, 2015 | 2 | 01:16 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |