Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Trocheck on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Lowry wins 54.0% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 57.0% vs Trocheck 51.6% (+5.8%)
H2H factor
Trocheck leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Trocheck 85.3%
Defensive zone
Trocheck 66.7%
Neutral zone
Trocheck 73.1%
Result
Vincent Trocheck favored at 74.8%
25.2%
74.8%
Lowry
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Lowry
Trocheck
Last 10: Lowry 3-7 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
3
Lowry
Trocheck
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
1
Lowry
Trocheck
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Trocheck
1
3
Lowry
Trocheck
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (843)
50.8% (783)
+7.8%
Power Play
65.0% (20)
60.0% (95)
+5.0%
Penalty Kill
53.8% (253)
51.8% (83)
+2.0%
On even strength, Lowry has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Lowry is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (352).
Lowry shoots left. Trocheck is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (649).
Home / Away
Lowry
Trocheck
Home
61.0% (602)
54.9% (506)
Away
53.7% (514)
48.4% (455)
By Period
Lowry
Trocheck
P1
57.3%
52.3%
P2
58.1%
50.8%
P3
57.4%
52.7%
OT
50.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
61.4%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
57.6%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2018 | 3 | 03:25 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 2, 2018 | 2 | 01:12 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 2, 2018 | 1 | 14:03 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 2, 2018 | 1 | 12:53 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 2, 2018 | 1 | 08:53 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 1, 2018 | 3 | 19:21 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 1, 2018 | 3 | 13:22 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 1, 2018 | 3 | 10:19 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 1, 2018 | 3 | 04:54 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 1, 2018 | 1 | 12:31 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |