Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +10.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Lowry wins 59.3% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 57.0% vs Karlsson 47.8% (+10.0%)
H2H factor
Lowry leads 11-4 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Lowry 65.2%
Defensive zone
Lowry 93.4%
Neutral zone
Lowry 85.9%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 78.3%
78.3%
21.7%
Lowry
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
4
(15 meetings)
11
4
Lowry
Karlsson
Last 10: Lowry 7-3 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
3
4
Lowry
Karlsson
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
4
0
Lowry
Karlsson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
4
0
Lowry
Karlsson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (843)
47.4% (1,012)
+11.2%
Power Play
65.0% (20)
45.6% (136)
+19.4%
Penalty Kill
53.8% (253)
53.5% (86)
+0.3%
On power play, Lowry has a +19.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Lowry is 59.3% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Lowry shoots left. Karlsson is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (870).
Home / Away
Lowry
Karlsson
Home
61.0% (602)
47.7% (658)
Away
53.7% (514)
47.6% (576)
By Period
Lowry
Karlsson
P1
57.3%
46.6%
P2
58.1%
47.2%
P3
57.4%
49.1%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
61.4%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
57.6%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2019 | 3 | 18:52 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 21, 2019 | 3 | 07:54 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 21, 2019 | 3 | 07:49 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 21, 2019 | 2 | 13:28 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 21, 2019 | 1 | 16:50 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 21, 2019 | 1 | 10:57 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 22, 2019 | 3 | 08:37 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 22, 2019 | 3 | 08:16 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Feb 22, 2019 | 2 | 19:43 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 22, 2019 | 2 | 19:29 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 22, 2019 | 2 | 09:03 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Jan 15, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 15, 2019 | 1 | 14:32 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 15, 2019 | 1 | 00:34 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 15, 2019 | 1 | 00:28 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |