Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Karlsson on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 52.7% vs Karlsson 51.5% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Karlsson 69.0%
Defensive zone
Lowry 64.7%
Neutral zone
Lowry 51.3%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 69.0%
31.0%
69.0%
Lowry
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Lowry
Karlsson
Last 6: Lowry 2-4 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
2
4
Lowry
Karlsson
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (796)
51.4% (735)
+4.4%
Power Play
54.7% (53)
63.5% (115)
-8.8%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (215)
42.9% (133)
-0.6%
On power play, Karlsson has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Lowry is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (672).
Lowry shoots left. Karlsson is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (651).
Home / Away
Lowry
Karlsson
Home
53.4% (515)
52.3% (524)
Away
52.6% (549)
51.0% (459)
By Period
Lowry
Karlsson
P1
54.2%
50.7%
P2
54.4%
51.4%
P3
50.8%
53.2%
OT
37.5%
41.2%
Final 5 min
54.2%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
53.0%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2022 | 3 | 04:08 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 2 | 17:22 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 2 | 09:29 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Jan 2, 2022 | 3 | 14:18 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Jan 2, 2022 | 2 | 11:42 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 2, 2022 | 1 | 10:32 | Offensive | William Karlsson |