Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 50.4% vs Karlsson 54.9% (-4.9%)
H2H factor
Lowry leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Karlsson 90.3%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 60.1%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 65.7%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 72.6%
27.4%
72.6%
Lowry
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
4
(11 meetings)
7
4
Lowry
Karlsson
Last 10: Lowry 7-3 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
3
1
Lowry
Karlsson
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
3
1
Lowry
Karlsson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Karlsson
1
2
Lowry
Karlsson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (893)
55.3% (897)
-2.6%
Power Play
52.8% (72)
61.1% (113)
-8.3%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (215)
50.8% (132)
-10.8%
On penalty kill, Karlsson has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Lowry is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (750).
Lowry shoots left. Karlsson is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (752).
Home / Away
Lowry
Karlsson
Home
52.4% (597)
58.6% (560)
Away
48.4% (583)
52.2% (582)
By Period
Lowry
Karlsson
P1
48.5%
55.8%
P2
52.2%
55.6%
P3
50.5%
55.7%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
49.4%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
50.4%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2022 | 3 | 11:27 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 3 | 08:26 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 3 | 05:48 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 3 | 01:50 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 2 | 07:42 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 1 | 12:47 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 1 | 05:37 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 30, 2022 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Oct 30, 2022 | 1 | 15:32 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Oct 30, 2022 | 1 | 00:21 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 2 | 07:23 | Neutral | William Karlsson |