Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Lowry wins 53.5% vs right-shot opponents — Johnston shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 50.4% vs Johnston 44.8% (+7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lowry 50.7%
Defensive zone
Lowry 76.5%
Neutral zone
Lowry 69.4%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 76.5%
76.5%
23.5%
Lowry
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Lowry
Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Johnston
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (893)
42.5% (318)
+10.2%
Power Play
52.8% (72)
55.6% (9)
-2.8%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (215)
62.5% (8)
-22.5%
On penalty kill, Johnston has a +22.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Lowry is 53.5% vs right-shot opponents (430).
Lowry shoots left. Johnston is 40.6% vs left-shot opponents (229).
Home / Away
Lowry
Johnston
Home
52.4% (597)
40.5% (168)
Away
48.4% (583)
46.1% (167)
By Period
Lowry
Johnston
P1
48.5%
46.9%
P2
52.2%
40.4%
P3
50.5%
41.9%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.4%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
50.4%
Johnston
52.0%▲
50.5%
43.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2022 | 1 | 10:33 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |