Scouting Report
Wyatt Johnston holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 49.1% vs Johnston 50.1% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Lowry leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Johnston 61.3%
Defensive zone
Lowry 56.9%
Neutral zone
Johnston 56.3%
Result
Wyatt Johnston favored at 55.4%
44.6%
55.4%
Lowry
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Lowry
Johnston
Last 10: Lowry 6-4 Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
4
2
Lowry
Johnston
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnston
1
2
Lowry
Johnston
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Johnston
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (1,064)
50.7% (552)
-1.4%
Power Play
67.7% (65)
61.5% (13)
+6.2%
Penalty Kill
42.6% (251)
43.5% (69)
-0.9%
On power play, Lowry has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Lowry is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (412).
Lowry shoots left. Johnston is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (498).
Home / Away
Lowry
Johnston
Home
50.2% (671)
50.3% (342)
Away
47.8% (709)
50.0% (292)
By Period
Lowry
Johnston
P1
48.4%
54.4%
P2
50.1%
47.2%
P3
47.8%
49.4%
OT
66.7%
40.0%
Final 5 min
43.8%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
49.0%
Johnston
52.0%▲
50.5%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2024 | 2 | 03:31 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 3 | 13:16 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 3 | 05:48 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 1 | 17:54 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 1 | 14:35 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 3 | 19:47 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 3 | 19:37 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 3 | 19:25 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 1 | 10:12 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 3 | 06:44 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |