Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 53.4% vs Gourde 46.0% (+8.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lowry 72.1%
Defensive zone
Lowry 81.7%
Neutral zone
Lowry 70.9%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 76.9%
76.9%
23.1%
Lowry
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Lowry
Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Gourde
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Gourde
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (675)
47.2% (654)
+8.2%
Power Play
83.3% (6)
45.0% (20)
+38.3%
Penalty Kill
40.4% (89)
32.2% (87)
+8.2%
On power play, Lowry has a +38.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Lowry is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (543).
Lowry shoots left. Gourde is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (501).
Home / Away
Lowry
Gourde
Home
54.5% (402)
44.1% (322)
Away
53.3% (368)
46.5% (439)
By Period
Lowry
Gourde
P1
52.4%
42.4%
P2
56.0%
49.8%
P3
54.2%
44.3%
OT
40.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
58.1%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
53.9%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2026 | 3 | 12:24 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 2 | 09:44 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |