Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.5% vs Gourde 48.2% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Lowry leads 24-18 in 42 meetings
Offensive zone
Lowry 51.1%
Defensive zone
Lowry 80.8%
Neutral zone
Lowry 69.1%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 67.1%
67.1%
32.9%
Lowry
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
24
-
18
(42 meetings)
24
18
Lowry
Gourde
Last 10: Lowry 9-1 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
4
7
Lowry
Gourde
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
10
0
Lowry
Gourde
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
10
11
Lowry
Gourde
21 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (9,130)
48.4% (4,954)
+4.4%
Power Play
57.1% (455)
57.4% (376)
-0.3%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (2,139)
39.9% (554)
+5.0%
On penalty kill, Lowry has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Lowry is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,740).
Lowry shoots left. Gourde is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,946).
Home / Away
Lowry
Gourde
Home
53.5% (5,893)
49.3% (2,915)
Away
49.6% (5,831)
47.2% (2,969)
By Period
Lowry
Gourde
P1
51.5%
49.9%
P2
51.8%
47.4%
P3
51.4%
47.5%
OT
46.3%
37.0%
Final 5 min
52.9%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.6%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2026 | 3 | 12:24 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 2 | 09:44 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 3 | 17:39 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 3 | 11:01 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 2 | 15:05 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 8, 2024 | 3 | 07:15 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 8, 2024 | 3 | 00:08 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 8, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 8, 2024 | 2 | 18:23 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 8, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 8, 2024 | 1 | 12:53 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 8, 2024 | 1 | 06:41 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 8, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 3 | 09:39 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 2 | 16:00 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 1 | 17:43 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 18, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |