Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 52.7% vs Gourde 49.5% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lowry 52.6%
Defensive zone
Lowry 76.9%
Neutral zone
Lowry 61.3%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 60.9%
60.9%
39.1%
Lowry
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Lowry
Gourde
Last 5: Lowry 4-1 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
0
Lowry
Gourde
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Gourde
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Lowry
Gourde
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (796)
49.1% (731)
+6.7%
Power Play
54.7% (53)
54.3% (81)
+0.4%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (215)
48.2% (85)
-5.9%
On even strength, Lowry has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Lowry is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (672).
Lowry shoots left. Gourde is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (556).
Home / Away
Lowry
Gourde
Home
53.4% (515)
50.9% (479)
Away
52.6% (549)
47.8% (418)
By Period
Lowry
Gourde
P1
54.2%
51.2%
P2
54.4%
49.8%
P3
50.8%
47.5%
OT
37.5%
66.7%
Final 5 min
54.2%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
53.0%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2022 | 2 | 05:43 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 2 | 05:31 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 1 | 16:54 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 1 | 10:27 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |