Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.4% vs 49.7%). Look for Gourde on neutral-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 50.4% vs Gourde 49.7% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Gourde leads 9-5 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Gourde 69.0%
Defensive zone
Lowry 68.9%
Neutral zone
Lowry 54.8%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 54.4%
54.4%
45.6%
Lowry
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
9
(14 meetings)
5
9
Lowry
Gourde
Last 10: Lowry 3-7 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
2
Lowry
Gourde
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
3
0
Lowry
Gourde
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
2
7
Lowry
Gourde
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (893)
49.1% (847)
+3.6%
Power Play
52.8% (72)
79.5% (44)
-26.7%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (215)
39.5% (81)
+0.5%
On power play, Gourde has a +26.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Lowry is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (750).
Lowry shoots left. Gourde is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (651).
Home / Away
Lowry
Gourde
Home
52.4% (597)
50.1% (491)
Away
48.4% (583)
49.3% (481)
By Period
Lowry
Gourde
P1
48.5%
54.7%
P2
52.2%
45.0%
P3
50.5%
49.4%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.4%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
50.4%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2023 | 3 | 09:39 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 2 | 16:00 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 1 | 17:43 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 18, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 18, 2022 | 2 | 14:43 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 18, 2022 | 2 | 11:56 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 18, 2022 | 2 | 09:15 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 18, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 18, 2022 | 1 | 00:13 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 18, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 3 | 12:59 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |