Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.6% vs Gourde 49.7% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gourde 59.4%
Defensive zone
Lowry 73.6%
Neutral zone
Lowry 59.2%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 53.0%
53.0%
47.0%
Lowry
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Lowry
Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
1
Lowry
Gourde
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
0
Lowry
Gourde
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (933)
51.2% (469)
+2.5%
Power Play
60.7% (28)
42.9% (21)
+17.8%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (227)
37.5% (48)
+5.2%
On power play, Lowry has a +17.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Lowry is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (840).
Lowry shoots left. Gourde is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (358).
Home / Away
Lowry
Gourde
Home
53.0% (583)
47.8% (301)
Away
50.6% (605)
51.9% (237)
By Period
Lowry
Gourde
P1
52.1%
47.3%
P2
51.8%
53.4%
P3
52.3%
48.6%
OT
25.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
53.9%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.8%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2024 | 3 | 17:39 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 3 | 11:01 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 2 | 15:05 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |