Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 49.1% vs Gourde 48.0% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gourde 60.7%
Defensive zone
Lowry 69.4%
Neutral zone
Lowry 53.8%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 50.3%
50.3%
49.7%
Lowry
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Lowry
Gourde
Last 8: Lowry 5-3 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
1
2
Lowry
Gourde
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Gourde
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
3
1
Lowry
Gourde
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (1,064)
48.0% (914)
+1.3%
Power Play
67.7% (65)
54.2% (48)
+13.5%
Penalty Kill
42.6% (251)
43.9% (123)
-1.3%
On power play, Lowry has a +13.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Lowry is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (968).
Lowry shoots left. Gourde is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Home / Away
Lowry
Gourde
Home
50.2% (671)
50.2% (512)
Away
47.8% (709)
45.7% (573)
By Period
Lowry
Gourde
P1
48.4%
50.0%
P2
50.1%
45.3%
P3
47.8%
48.6%
OT
66.7%
20.0%
Final 5 min
43.8%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
49.0%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2024 | 3 | 07:15 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 8, 2024 | 3 | 00:08 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 8, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 8, 2024 | 2 | 18:23 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 8, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 8, 2024 | 1 | 12:53 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 8, 2024 | 1 | 06:41 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 8, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |