Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +12.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Lowry wins 56.6% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 55.1% vs Gourde 44.8% (+12.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lowry 53.5%
Defensive zone
Lowry 85.1%
Neutral zone
Lowry 83.5%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 75.6%
75.6%
24.4%
Lowry
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Lowry
Gourde
Last 7: Lowry 5-2 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
2
Lowry
Gourde
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
3
0
Lowry
Gourde
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
0
Lowry
Gourde
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
59.0% (527)
40.9% (279)
+18.1%
Power Play
44.2% (43)
58.3% (60)
-14.1%
Penalty Kill
44.6% (101)
36.0% (25)
+8.6%
On even strength, Lowry has a +18.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Lowry is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (401).
Lowry shoots left. Gourde is 42.6% vs left-shot opponents (258).
Home / Away
Lowry
Gourde
Home
57.9% (330)
45.5% (189)
Away
54.0% (341)
41.1% (175)
By Period
Lowry
Gourde
P1
55.8%
42.4%
P2
55.8%
48.3%
P3
56.1%
40.3%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
62.2%
40.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
55.9%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
43.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2017 | 3 | 03:58 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 9, 2017 | 2 | 16:39 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 9, 2017 | 2 | 09:34 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 9, 2017 | 2 | 09:19 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 9, 2017 | 2 | 08:06 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 9, 2017 | 1 | 14:38 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 9, 2017 | 1 | 07:14 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |