Scouting Report
Adrian Kempe holds a +15.9% FO% edge overall. Kempe wins 45.7% vs left-shot opponents — Marchand shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 50.0% vs Marchand 45.4% (+15.9%)
Offensive zone
Kempe 52.1%
Defensive zone
Marchand 50.4%
Neutral zone
Marchand 55.5%
Result
Brad Marchand favored at 51.3%
48.7%
51.3%
Kempe
Marchand
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Marchand
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (36)
31.0% (29)
+16.2%
Power Play
77.8% (9)
40.0% (10)
+37.8%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
50.0% (2)
-30.0%
On power play, Kempe has a +37.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marchand shoots left. Kempe is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (35).
Kempe shoots left. Marchand is 25.0% vs left-shot opponents (32).
Home / Away
Kempe
Marchand
Home
60.0% (25)
42.1% (19)
Away
40.0% (25)
27.3% (22)
By Period
Kempe
Marchand
P1
57.9%
31.6%
P2
40.0%
28.6%
P3
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
30.0%
16.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
50.0%
Marchand
42.0%▲
37.0%
34.1%