Scouting Report
Adrian Kempe holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 49.2% vs Marchand 48.7% (+7.3%)
Offensive zone
Kempe 54.1%
Defensive zone
Marchand 57.7%
Neutral zone
Kempe 54.3%
Result
Adrian Kempe favored at 50.2%
50.2%
49.8%
Kempe
Marchand
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Marchand
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (17)
22.2% (9)
+24.9%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
75.0% (4)
+25.0%
On penalty kill, Kempe has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marchand shoots left. Kempe is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (14).
Kempe shoots left. Marchand is 37.5% vs left-shot opponents (8).
Home / Away
Kempe
Marchand
Home
38.5% (13)
37.5% (8)
Away
54.5% (11)
40.0% (5)
By Period
Kempe
Marchand
P1
33.3%
28.6%
P2
42.9%
40.0%
P3
62.5%
100.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
33.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
45.8%
Marchand
42.0%▲
37.0%
38.5%