Scouting Report
Brad Marchand holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Kempe wins 36.7% vs left-shot opponents — Marchand shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 43.7% vs Marchand 45.9% (-7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Marchand 73.4%
Defensive zone
Kempe 50.2%
Neutral zone
Marchand 57.3%
Result
Adrian Kempe favored at 50.2%
50.2%
49.8%
Kempe
Marchand
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Kempe
Marchand
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kempe
1
0
Kempe
Marchand
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Marchand
Edge
Even Strength
32.7% (49)
29.7% (37)
+3.0%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
25.0% (4)
-25.0%
On penalty kill, Marchand has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marchand shoots left. Kempe is 36.7% vs left-shot opponents (30).
Kempe shoots left. Marchand is 34.8% vs left-shot opponents (46).
Home / Away
Kempe
Marchand
Home
11.1% (9)
43.3% (30)
Away
35.7% (42)
33.3% (27)
By Period
Kempe
Marchand
P1
22.2%
50.0%
P2
33.3%
45.0%
P3
25.0%
13.3%
Final 5 min
7.7%
25.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
31.4%
Marchand
42.0%▲
37.0%
38.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 2022 | 1 | 05:37 | Defensive | Adrian Kempe |