Adrian Kempe vs Brad Marchand

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Adrian Kempe holds a +23.4% FO% edge overall. Kempe wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — Marchand shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Kempe 41.7% vs Marchand 47.2% (+23.4%)
Offensive zone Kempe 67.9%
Defensive zone Marchand 52.1%
Neutral zone Kempe 54.4%
Result Adrian Kempe favored at 56.7%
56.7%
43.3%
Kempe Marchand
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded

Situation Matchup

Situation
Kempe
Marchand
Edge
Even Strength
38.2% (102)
12.5% (8)
+25.7%
On even strength, Kempe has a +25.7% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Marchand shoots left. Kempe is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (84).
Kempe shoots left. Marchand is 0.0% vs left-shot opponents (6).
Home / Away
Kempe
Marchand
Home
36.4% (66)
16.7% (6)
Away
35.5% (76)
0.0% (2)
By Period
Kempe
Marchand
P1
37.3%
16.7%
P2
36.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
40.0%
25.0%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%
35.5%
35.9%
Marchand
42.0%
37.0%
12.5%