Scouting Report
Adrian Kempe holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Kempe wins 39.7% vs left-shot opponents — Marchand shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 41.0% vs Marchand 40.3% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Marchand 53.0%
Defensive zone
Kempe 59.6%
Neutral zone
Marchand 54.6%
Result
Adrian Kempe favored at 59.6%
59.6%
40.4%
Kempe
Marchand
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Kempe
Marchand
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kempe
1
0
Kempe
Marchand
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Marchand
Edge
Even Strength
40.2% (1,881)
36.6% (473)
+3.6%
Power Play
43.1% (211)
49.3% (146)
-6.2%
Penalty Kill
42.6% (54)
31.8% (66)
+10.8%
On penalty kill, Kempe has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marchand shoots left. Kempe is 39.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,356).
Kempe shoots left. Marchand is 36.4% vs left-shot opponents (467).
Home / Away
Kempe
Marchand
Home
42.4% (1,045)
39.9% (363)
Away
38.8% (1,101)
37.6% (322)
By Period
Kempe
Marchand
P1
39.5%
41.3%
P2
40.1%
35.0%
P3
42.2%
39.2%
OT
37.0%
37.5%
Final 5 min
37.2%
37.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
40.5%
Marchand
42.0%▲
37.0%
38.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 2022 | 1 | 05:37 | Defensive | Adrian Kempe |