Scouting Report
Adrian Kempe holds a +15.4% FO% edge overall. Kempe wins 45.7% vs left-shot opponents — Hughes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 50.0% vs Hughes 38.0% (+15.4%)
Offensive zone
Kempe 51.6%
Defensive zone
Kempe 52.1%
Neutral zone
Hughes 56.9%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Kempe
Hughes
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (36)
34.5% (342)
+12.7%
Power Play
77.8% (9)
42.9% (7)
+34.9%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
25.0% (4)
-5.0%
On power play, Kempe has a +34.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Kempe is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (35).
Kempe shoots left. Hughes is 33.8% vs left-shot opponents (210).
Home / Away
Kempe
Hughes
Home
60.0% (25)
32.6% (187)
Away
40.0% (25)
36.7% (166)
By Period
Kempe
Hughes
P1
57.9%
33.9%
P2
40.0%
34.2%
P3
50.0%
36.5%
Final 5 min
30.0%
29.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
32.0%▼
37.0%
50.0%
Hughes
34.0%▼
36.5%
34.6%