Scouting Report
Jack Hughes holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Kempe wins 36.7% vs left-shot opponents — Hughes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 43.7% vs Hughes 37.9% (-3.9%)
Offensive zone
Hughes 71.8%
Defensive zone
Kempe 65.8%
Neutral zone
Hughes 59.1%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 55.1%
44.9%
55.1%
Kempe
Hughes
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
32.7% (49)
34.9% (444)
-2.2%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
33.3% (6)
-33.3%
On penalty kill, Hughes has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Kempe is 36.7% vs left-shot opponents (30).
Kempe shoots left. Hughes is 35.4% vs left-shot opponents (285).
Home / Away
Kempe
Hughes
Home
11.1% (9)
37.4% (235)
Away
35.7% (42)
33.2% (229)
By Period
Kempe
Hughes
P1
22.2%
37.1%
P2
33.3%
33.7%
P3
25.0%
34.8%
OT
100.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
7.7%
32.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
32.0%▼
37.0%
31.4%
Hughes
34.0%▼
36.5%
35.3%