Scouting Report
Adrian Kempe holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 49.2% vs Hughes 39.2% (+8.2%)
Offensive zone
Hughes 59.9%
Defensive zone
Hughes 54.5%
Neutral zone
Kempe 52.1%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 54.1%
45.9%
54.1%
Kempe
Hughes
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (17)
37.9% (623)
+9.2%
Power Play
33.3% (6)
33.3% (33)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
36.4% (11)
+63.6%
On penalty kill, Kempe has a +63.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Kempe is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (14).
Kempe shoots left. Hughes is 37.9% vs left-shot opponents (459).
Home / Away
Kempe
Hughes
Home
38.5% (13)
36.6% (314)
Away
54.5% (11)
38.5% (353)
By Period
Kempe
Hughes
P1
33.3%
36.4%
P2
42.9%
35.6%
P3
62.5%
41.8%
Final 5 min
50.0%
36.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
32.0%▼
37.0%
45.8%
Hughes
34.0%▼
36.5%
37.6%