Scouting Report
Adrian Kempe holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Kempe wins 39.8% vs left-shot opponents — Hughes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 41.1% vs Hughes 36.5% (+4.7%)
Offensive zone
Hughes 56.3%
Defensive zone
Hughes 51.5%
Neutral zone
Hughes 52.8%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 53.5%
46.5%
53.5%
Kempe
Hughes
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
40.3% (1,865)
35.9% (2,772)
+4.4%
Power Play
44.3% (201)
39.0% (223)
+5.3%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (53)
31.0% (42)
+12.4%
On penalty kill, Kempe has a +12.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Kempe is 39.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,341).
Kempe shoots left. Hughes is 34.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,858).
Home / Away
Kempe
Hughes
Home
42.6% (1,033)
36.7% (1,596)
Away
39.0% (1,086)
35.3% (1,441)
By Period
Kempe
Hughes
P1
39.7%
36.3%
P2
40.2%
33.7%
P3
42.4%
38.3%
OT
37.0%
37.5%
Final 5 min
37.2%
34.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
32.0%▼
37.0%
40.7%
Hughes
34.0%▼
36.5%
36.0%