Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (35.9% vs 36.2%). Kempe wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — Hughes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 41.7% vs Hughes 39.8% (-0.3%)
Offensive zone
Kempe 56.4%
Defensive zone
Hughes 52.6%
Neutral zone
Hughes 60.5%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Kempe
Hughes
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
38.2% (102)
36.8% (266)
+1.4%
Power Play
30.6% (36)
14.3% (7)
+16.3%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
33.3% (6)
-8.3%
On power play, Kempe has a +16.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Kempe is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (84).
Kempe shoots left. Hughes is 33.9% vs left-shot opponents (189).
Home / Away
Kempe
Hughes
Home
36.4% (66)
35.1% (148)
Away
35.5% (76)
37.4% (131)
By Period
Kempe
Hughes
P1
37.3%
43.0%
P2
36.7%
28.7%
P3
31.4%
35.2%
Final 5 min
40.0%
28.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
35.9%
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
36.2%