Aleksander Barkov vs Connor McDavid
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for McDavid on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Barkov wins 58.0% vs left-shot opponents — McDavid shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 56.4% vs McDavid 53.4% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDavid 60.7%
Defensive zone
McDavid 60.3%
Neutral zone
McDavid 60.3%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 60.5%
39.5%
60.5%
Barkov
McDavid
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Barkov
McDavid
Last 8: Barkov 3-5 McDavid
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Barkov
McDavid
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
0
1
Barkov
McDavid
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McDavid
1
2
Barkov
McDavid
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
McDavid
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (870)
54.3% (1,002)
+2.7%
Power Play
63.8% (210)
44.8% (29)
+19.0%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (172)
33.3% (15)
+15.0%
On power play, Barkov has a +19.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McDavid shoots left. Barkov is 58.0% vs left-shot opponents (719).
Barkov shoots left. McDavid is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (679).
Home / Away
Barkov
McDavid
Home
59.2% (557)
53.6% (507)
Away
55.1% (695)
53.8% (539)
By Period
Barkov
McDavid
P1
56.7%
52.6%
P2
54.8%
54.1%
P3
59.7%
54.9%
OT
55.6%
44.4%
Final 5 min
59.4%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
56.9%
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2022 | 3 | 18:45 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 3 | 18:04 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 3 | 04:42 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 1 | 15:12 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 1 | 11:50 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 1 | 10:14 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 1 | 05:52 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 1 | 02:39 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |