Aleksander Barkov vs Connor McDavid
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Barkov on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Barkov wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — McDavid shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 54.5% vs McDavid 51.8% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barkov 61.2%
Defensive zone
Barkov 56.3%
Neutral zone
Barkov 58.1%
Result
Aleksander Barkov favored at 59.3%
59.3%
40.7%
Barkov
McDavid
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Barkov
McDavid
Last 6: Barkov 4-2 McDavid
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
3
0
Barkov
McDavid
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
0
1
Barkov
McDavid
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Barkov
McDavid
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
McDavid
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (863)
51.5% (889)
+1.6%
Power Play
63.4% (276)
63.9% (36)
-0.5%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (193)
51.2% (86)
-0.4%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McDavid shoots left. Barkov is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (844).
Barkov shoots left. McDavid is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (654).
Home / Away
Barkov
McDavid
Home
58.1% (627)
50.7% (513)
Away
52.1% (705)
53.2% (498)
By Period
Barkov
McDavid
P1
53.3%
52.3%
P2
55.0%
51.6%
P3
56.0%
51.7%
OT
60.9%
100.0%
Final 5 min
55.5%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
54.9%
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2022 | 3 | 06:53 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 3 | 04:52 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 2 | 14:31 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 1 | 06:29 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 1 | 02:29 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |